Analysis
This analysis examines all authoritative Chinese Communist Party (CCP) political and strategic documents since 2012 and comparable documents dating back to 1992 that have discussed timelines for “reunifying” Taiwan, in order to better understand what, if any, formal timeline the CCP has outlined for legally and politically absorbing Taiwan into the People’s Republic of China.
Over the past three decades, Chinese scholars and policymakers have been debating the causes and consequences of the Soviet Union’s collapse. What lessons is the Chinese Communist Party drawing from this historical event, and what do they suggest about its approach to governance today? Drawing on newly translated scholarship, leading experts examine this important topic.
The term 敢于斗争 (gǎnyú dòuzhēng) has become increasingly prevalent in Chinese official discourse. While recently translated as “dare to fight” among multiple high-profile authors and outlets outside of China, two scholars argue that “dare to struggle” better reflects the ideological, political, and multidimensional nature of the concept in historical Chinese discourse.
Drawing on newly translated scholarship, leading experts examine how Chinese analysts are assessing U.S. and partner deterrence strategies in the Indo-Pacific and in the Taiwan Strait.
How are Chinese scholars assessing what role Japan might play in a potential conflict in and around Taiwan? Here, we asked three leading experts to analyze newly translated assessments by Chinese scholars on Japan’s role in cross-Strait relations and implications for Beijing’s evolving relationship with Tokyo going forward.
What is China’s approach to crisis management, and how has it evolved over the past several decades? Here, three leading experts analyze newly translated assessments by Chinese security analysts and assess implications for U.S.-China security relations.
Kelly Hammond, Darren Byler, and David Tobin, experts on Xinjiang, analyze a 2017 speech by former Xinjiang Party Secretary Chen Quanguo, where he outlines the specifics of “Sinicization” of the region to ensure “stability and harmony.”
In the wake of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, how are Chinese strategists and scholars assessing U.S. deterrence strategy? What are the implications for Taiwan? Here, four leading foreign affairs experts—Rory Medcalf, Oriana Skylar Mastro, Hal Brands, and Michael Mazarr—analyze a newly translated article by a senior Chinese scholar which concludes that while the United States failed to deter Putin’s aggression, its actions in Ukraine are nonetheless impacting Beijing’s foreign policy calculations.
How has Russia’s invasion of Ukraine impacted Beijing’s strategy for achieving energy security? Will China increase its investment in renewables in order to insulate itself from future energy market volatility? Or will the search for short-term growth see Beijing double down on traditional energy sources? Utilizing newly translated documents, three leading exports explore China’s path forward.
Jude Blanchette analyses a translated article from a CCP scholar in Xinjiang that explains Xi Jinping’s vision for the region.