This analysis examines all authoritative Chinese Communist Party (CCP) political and strategic documents since 2012 and comparable documents dating back to 1992 that have discussed timelines for “reunifying” Taiwan, in order to better understand what, if any, formal timeline the CCP has outlined for legally and politically absorbing Taiwan into the People’s Republic of China.
Drawing on newly translated scholarship, leading experts examine how Chinese analysts are assessing U.S. and partner deterrence strategies in the Indo-Pacific and in the Taiwan Strait.
How are Chinese scholars assessing what role Japan might play in a potential conflict in and around Taiwan? Here, we asked three leading experts to analyze newly translated assessments by Chinese scholars on Japan’s role in cross-Strait relations and implications for Beijing’s evolving relationship with Tokyo going forward.
In the wake of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, how are Chinese strategists and scholars assessing U.S. deterrence strategy? What are the implications for Taiwan? Here, four leading foreign affairs experts—Rory Medcalf, Oriana Skylar Mastro, Hal Brands, and Michael Mazarr—analyze a newly translated article by a senior Chinese scholar which concludes that while the United States failed to deter Putin’s aggression, its actions in Ukraine are nonetheless impacting Beijing’s foreign policy calculations.