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How Has Russia Withstood Two Years of Sanctions?
经历两年制裁俄罗斯没被打败,靠的是什么?

In this interview, Xu Poling, a Russia expert at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, reflects on lessons learned from recent research trips to the country. He seeks to explain Russia’s relative resilience in the face of sanctions, concluding several factors are at work – the quick imposition of strict outbound capital controls, forced sales of foreign currency to increase central bank holdings, insistence on selling gas to Europe in rubles, and de-dollarization efforts since 2014.

Xu Poling 徐坡岭
The Belt and Road Initiative and China’s Breakthrough of United States Technology Containment – Taking China’s Cooperation with Southeast Asia as an Example
“ 一带一路” 建设与中国破局美国技术遏制 ———以中国与东南亚地区合作为例

This article, penned by scholars from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Tongji University, explores how China can use the BRI to navigate U.S. trade and technology controls. Drawing on three case studies of BRI projects in Southeast Asia, the authors suggest Beijing can better insulate itself from the impact of U.S. controls through deepened economic integration with BRI partners. They also argue it will be important to ensure BRI projects benefit partners in areas from technology upgrading to human capital development, to challenge what they see as Western efforts to discredit the BRI among China’s neighboring countries.

Bu Yanjun 部彦君, Gao Cheng 高程, Xue Lin 薛琳
Article 23 Legislation and Hong Kong Society’s “Right to Know” and “Freedom of Speech”
23条立法和香港社会的“知情权”“言论自由权”

This article was written during the consultation period for new national security legislation through Article 23 of Hong Kong’s Basic Law. Shao Shanbo, previous head of the former Hong Kong Central Policy Unit (a government think tank advising the Chief Executive that was revamped under a new name in 2018), addresses criticism voiced within Hong Kong and by external observers over the bill’s potential breadth. Prominently, he argues that terms such as “incitement” are not vague because they have been clarified by legal precedents within the city’s common law system.

Shao Shanbo 邵善波
Results and Impact of the 2024 Taiwan Region Elections
2024 年台湾地区选举的结果及其影响

Jie Dalei, an expert on Taiwan and U.S.-China relations, analyzes the results of the 2024 elections in Taiwan in this piece published by the Institute of International and Strategic Studies. He seeks to explain the failure of the Kuomintang (KMT) to secure the presidency, considers the future of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), and assesses implications of the president-elect Lai Ching-te administration for cross-Strait and U.S.-China relations.

Jie Dalei 节大磊
Xi Jinping Emphasizes Vigorously Promoting High-quality Development of New Energy in China to Make Greater Contributions to Building a Clean and Beautiful World during the 12th Collective Study Session of the CCP Central Political Bureau
习近平在中共中央政治局第十二次集体学习时强调 大力推动我国新能源高质量发展 为共建清洁美丽世界作出更大贡献

The CCP Politburo holds “collective study sessions” on a semi-regular basis, in which an outside academic or government expert leads a discussion on a selected topic. Such sessions are important signals as to what issues the senior leadership finds important. The 12th collective study session of the 20th Central Committee Politburo was held on February 29, 2024 and was presided over by Xi Jinping. At this session, Xi delivered a speech emphasizing the need to improve China’s energy security through the development and deployment of clean energy technologies. These efforts will enable China, Xi posits, to achieve sustainable growth at home and become a leader in combating climate change globally.

Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee 中共中央政治局
The Risks Facing Belt and Road and China’s Choices in the New Situation
新形势下一带一路面临的风险与中国抉择

In this lengthy article, a BRI researcher at China Development Institute, a Shenzhen-based think tank, outlines perceived challenges to the Belt and Road Initiative around its 10th anniversary. These include geopolitical risks from competition with the United States, political and financial instability within partner countries, weak economic growth, and ill-defined goals and poor marketing. The author recommends Beijing improve risk monitoring and project oversight to manage financial and economic risks, and improve the BRI’s reputation across the globe by deepening diplomatic cooperation with a wide array of countries.

Yan Shaojun 颜少君
Economic Security Risks in Belt and Road Implementation and Their Control Methods
“一带一路”实施中的经济安全风险 及其管控路径

A researcher at Peking University explores risks to future projects under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). These risks, in his analysis, range from intensifying geopolitical competition to instability in the business environments of partner countries. The author highlights the need to address concerns in partner countries about the ultimate intent of BRI investments, associated with the heavy involvement of China’s SOEs. To address these risks, he recommends increasing intergovernmental dialogue with host countries, implementing risk assessment systems, and improving the reputation of the BRI by marketing Chinese culture through international exchanges, among other measures.

Wei Xin 韦欣
Qu Qingshan, Director of the Central Party History and Documentation Research Institute: A Powerful Ideological Weapon for Building a Strong Financial Nation
中央党史和文献研究院院长曲青山:建设金融强国的强大思想武器

Qu Qingshan, one of China’s top Party theorists, argues that developing and modernizing the financial system is an integral component in the pursuit of modernization and “rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.” He emphasizes that for China to be a strong player in the global financial system, several structural risks in the domestic finance industry must be addressed. This piece appears in one of the leading Party newspapers and echoes Xi Jinping’s recent emphasis on strengthening the financial system, signaling policy priorities.

Qu Qingshan 曲青山
Xi Jinping Emphasizes Accelerating the Development of New Qualitative Productive Forces to Solidly Promote High-Quality Development during the Eleventh Collective Study Session of the CCP Central Committee Politburo
习近平在中共中央政治局第十一次集体学习时强调 加快发展新质生产力 扎实推进高质量发展

The CCP Politburo holds “collective study sessions” on a semi-regular basis, in which an outside academic or government expert leads a discussion on a selected topic. Such sessions are important signals as to what issues the senior leadership finds important. The eleventh collective study session of the 20th Central Committee Politburo was held on January 31, 2024 and was presided over by Xi Jinping. At this session, Xi delivered a speech emphasizing the urgency of accelerating high-quality development through technological innovation, with a focus on upgrading advanced manufacturing, deploying clean technologies, and building better talent pipelines in the science and technology fields.

A Reshaped World? New Features of Artificial Intelligence and National Security under the Rise of ChatGPT
被重塑的世界?ChatGPT崛起下人工智能与国家安全新特征

Scholars from Huaqiao University explore the implications of generative AI for China’s prosperity and national security, following the launch of ChatGPT. They emphasize the pivotal role leadership in AI research and applications will play in global power distributions going forward, given implications for standards-setting ability, productivity growth, and information control.

Huang Rihan 黄日涵, Yao Haolong 姚浩龙