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At the 25th collective study session of the CCP Politburo, Xi Jinping Stressed the Need to Enhance Capabilities for Preventing and Responding to Natural Disasters and Effectively Safeguard the Lives and Property of the People
习近平在中共中央政治局第二十五次集体学习时强调 着力提高防范应对自然灾害能力 切实维护人民群众生命财产安全
The CCP Politburo holds “collective study sessions” on a semi-regular basis, in which an outside academic or government expert leads a discussion on a selected topic. Such sessions can signal which issues the senior leadership considers to be important. On April 28, 2026, Xi Jinping presided over the 25th collective study session of the 20th Central Committee. Xi delivered a speech emphasizing the need to enhance disaster preparedness and protect lives and property. |
Political Bureau of the CCP Central Committee 中共中央政治局 | |||||||
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Venezuela’s Oil and Gas Resources and International Investment Disputes
委内瑞拉油气资源与国际投资争端
Zha Daojiong, a professor at Peking University, casts doubt on Venezuela’s significance in the international oil market, noting that not only has Venezuela’s daily crude oil output declined severely over the past three decades, but its claims of oil reserves are also viewed with skepticism within the industry. Zha argues that by strengthening energy cooperation with China, Venezuela can reduce its reliance on the U.S. oil market and “promote the diversification” of its foreign investment. To promote stable China-Venezuela energy cooperation amid the challenging operating environment in Venezuela, Zha urges Chinese companies should utilize existing arbitration mechanisms to protect their interests. This is one of six pieces published by the journal of Contemporary International Relations following an academic seminar titled “U.S. Military Action Against Venezuela and Its Impacts.” The other five pieces are also available on the Interpret: China platform. The journal is published by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a Chinese think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security. |
Zha Daojiong 查道炯 | |||||||
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The Oil Motives Behind U.S. Military Intervention
美国军事介入的石油动机
Zhao Hongtu, a researcher at China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, which is a bureau of the Ministry of State Security, argues that oil was “a medium” of U.S. military action in Venezuela rather than its ultimate objective, serving as an instrument through which President Trump could establish control over Venezuela. Zhao reasons that the U.S. operation sought to achieve both domestic and international aims. He anticipates the United States will be able to import more Venezuelan oil in the short-term, but argues that over the longer term, economic, political and historical factors will constrain the country’s capacity for oil production. This is one of six pieces published by the journal of Contemporary International Relations following an academic seminar titled “U.S. Military Action Against Venezuela and Its Impacts.” The other five pieces are also available on the Interpret: China platform. The journal is published by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a Chinese think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security. |
Zhao Hongtu 赵宏图 | |||||||
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The Multiple Impacts of U.S. Policy on Latin America
美国政策对拉美地区的多重影响
Zhou Zhiwei, a researcher at the Institute of Latin American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, analyzes the impacts of U.S. policy in Latin America, positing that the United States has adopted a more interventionist and aggressive approach under President Trump’s second term, which conflicts with Latin American countries’ core interests in security and development. He argues that U.S. policy in the region has led to increased political, economic, and regional security risks. Zhou concludes that the aggressive U.S. approach to the region may result in short-term gains, but the “new Monroe Doctrine” under Trump will ultimately lead to an increase in anti-American sentiment and strategic autonomy of Latin American countries as they reject U.S. influence. This is one of six pieces published by the journal of Contemporary International Relations following an academic seminar titled “U.S. Military Action Against Venezuela and Its Impacts.” The other five pieces are also available on the Interpret: China platform. The journal is published by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a Chinese think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security. |
Zhou Zhiwei 周志伟 | |||||||
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The Interactive Effects of “Donroe Doctrine” Interference and the Rise of the New Right in Latin America
“唐罗主义”干涉与拉美新右翼崛起的联动效应
Yang Shouguo, a scholar with the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, which is a bureau of the Ministry of State Security, outlines the implementation of the “Donroe Doctrine” under President Trump’s second term, contending that the approach is characterized by a prioritization of the Western Hemisphere and desire for absolute control over the region. He argues the “Donroe Doctrine” marks a shift from conducting interference under the banner of “American rules and values” to coercive control based on “force and power.” observing the doctrine also links U.S. domestic priorities with Latin America and incorporates new policy tools. Yang posits that, within this context, Latin American countries will face dual pressures of maintaining autonomy and navigating great power competition. This is one of six pieces published by the journal of Contemporary International Relations following an academic seminar titled “U.S. Military Action Against Venezuela and Its Impacts.” The other five pieces are also available on the Interpret: China platform. The journal is published by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a Chinese think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security. |
Yang Shouguo 杨首国 | |||||||
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Characteristics and Reflections of the U.S. Military Invasion of Venezuela
美国入侵委内瑞拉军事行动特点及反思
Xu Shuai, a professor at the People’s Liberation Army National Defense University in Beijing, offers a detailed description of the U.S. military operation that captured Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife from their heavily fortified residence. Calling this operation a “lightning strike,” Xu elaborates on four aspects of the U.S. military tactics that enabled it and assesses Venezuelan intelligence and military blunders before and during the operation. He concludes by naming several “strategic errors” that the United States committed despite its operational success. This is one of six pieces published by the journal of Contemporary International Relations following an academic seminar titled “U.S. Military Action Against Venezuela and Its Impacts.” The other five pieces are also available on the Interpret: China platform. The journal is published by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a Chinese think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security. |
Xu Shuai 徐帅 | |||||||
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The “Donroe Doctrine” in the Era of Great Power Competition
大国竞争时代的“唐罗主义”
Fan Jishe, a professor at the Central Party School of the Communist Party of China, writes that President Trump has elevated the Western Hemisphere to the top position in his national security strategy. Fan argues the United States is therefore preparing to “retreat” from the Middle East and Europe and “consolidate” its position in the Americas. Fan argues that Venezuela is the focal point on which U.S. domestic and regional policy agendas intersect, and that the United States’ 2026 military action against Venezuela was intended to advance the U.S. position in the great power strategic competition between the United States and China. This is one of six pieces published by the journal of Contemporary International Relations following an academic seminar titled “U.S. Military Action Against Venezuela and Its Impacts.” The other five pieces are also available on the Interpret: China platform. The journal is published by the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR), a Chinese think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security. |
Fan Jishe 樊吉社 | |||||||
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The Policy Trajectory of the U.S. Monroe Doctrine and Prospects for China–Latin America Cooperation
美国门罗主义的政策态势及中拉合作展望
Zhou Zhiwei, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, traces the evolution of the U.S. Monroe Doctrine and examines its implications for contemporary China-Latin America relations. He argues that while the doctrine initially emphasized mutual non-interference, it has evolved into a tool of U.S. hegemony centered on security, dominance, and alliance building in the Western Hemisphere. He contends that in his second term, Trump has employed a coercive, securitized application of the doctrine, increasing pressure on Latin America and seeking to constrain China-Latin America cooperation. Despite these challenges, Zhou concludes that China-Latin America cooperation will continue to expand due to Latin America’s growing autonomy, economic complementarity with China, and the shared interests of the Global South. |
Zhou Zhiwei 周志伟 | |||||||
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U.S. Elites’ Perceptions of China–Latin America Relations and Their Impact
美国精英对中拉关系的认知及其影响
Two researchers at the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) argue that recent discussions of China-Latin America relations in U.S. academic and strategic communities have increasingly promoted negative narratives related to China. The authors claim that countering China has become “the starting point” for U.S. policymaking in Latin America, as evidenced by a flurry of official statements, legislative activities, resource reallocation, and broad-based government initiatives. They conclude China-Latin America relations face growing uncertainty due to U.S. efforts to exclude China from the region, which they say could harm the interests of the United States, China, and Latin America alike. |
Shao Jingyi 邵静怡, Yan Jin 严谨 | |||||||
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New Opportunities for China–Latin America Economic and Trade Cooperation in the “Trump 2.0” Period
“特朗普2.0”时期中拉经贸合作的新机遇
Xie Wenze, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), argues that a key component of President Trump’s “New Monroe Doctrine” is constraining China-Latin America economic and trade cooperation. Xie proposes an updated framework of what he calls the “two-ring strategy,” in which the United States relies on expanded control of the Western Hemisphere and dollar dominance to maintain its strategic advantage. He concludes by offering a roadmap for deepening China-Latin America ties to counteract the growing U.S. regional influence, including the periodic deployment of Chinese military ships to Latin America. |
Xie Wenze 谢文泽 |